Page 20 - MWC 3-9-2023s
P. 20

CATTLE REPORT                      last month.                                              The Midwest Cattleman · March 9, 2023 · P20
      continued from page 19                In the second quarter, a
                                         reduction  in  expected  mar-
      sent the 80th and 99th per-        ketings is forecast to more
      centiles, respectively, of past    than offset an increase in
      winters.  In the  first three      cow slaughter. In addition,
      weeks of 2023, severe weath-       the outlook for lower weights
      er lowered steer and heifer        was carried over into the
      dressed weights by an av-          second quarter, further re-
      erage 9 and 18 pounds, re-         ducing  production  from  last
      spectively, below the same         month by 90 million pounds.
      period last year. Further, cow     As a result, an increased cow
      and bull dressed weights are       slaughter in first-half 2023
      down 9 and 29 pounds, re-          more than offset the net de-
      spectively.                        crease in expected market-
         Based on the January            ings and lighter anticipated
      Cattle on Feed data, great-        weights, which raises the
      er-than-expected            mar-   outlook for 2023 beef produc-
      ket-ready supplies of fed          tion by 50 million pounds to       Cattle report, supplies of cat- the premium to cash for the
      cattle  on Jan.  1 increased       26.5 billion pounds.               tle available for placement  February contract, as well
      the anticipated pace of mar-       Fed cattle prices raised           in early 2023 remain tight.  as on lower forecast dressed
      ketings in first-quarter 2023.     on lighter weights                 These factors support leaving  weights for the first half of
      However,       smaller-than-ex-       In January, prices for feed- the forecasts for 2023 feeder  the year, fed steer prices are
      pected placements in De-           er steers 750-800  pounds at  steer prices unchanged at  raised in the first two quar-
      cember lowered the outlook         the Oklahoma City Nation- $203 per cwt.                              ters to $158 and $159 per cwt
      for marketings in the sec-         al Stockyards recorded a             Fed  steers in  the  5-area  for an annual projection of
      ond quarter. Further, a fast-      weighted average of $178.38  marketing region averaged  $159 per cwt in 2023.
      er pace of cow slaughter is        per hundredweight (cwt),  $156.30 per cwt in January
      anticipated in the first half.     about $20 above January  2023, about $19 above last                  Export volume and value
      As a result, in first-quarter      2022.  The feeder steer pric- year. Fed cattle prices have           were record high in 2022
      2023, total cattle slaughter       es reported on Feb. 6 jumped  continued steady into the                 Monthly exports in De-
      was raised but was partial-        about $14 week over week  new year, with reported pric-              cember were 266 million
      ly  offset by lower expected       to $187.31 per cwt, almost  es for the week ending Feb.              pounds, a year-over-year de-
      weights, leaving production        $27 above the same week  5 at $158.17 per cwt. Based                 crease of 17%, falling just
      up 140 million pounds from         last year. As indicated by the  on recent price data and             below the five-year average
   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   24   25