Page 22 - MWC 3-9-2023s
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CATTLE REPORT                      Entry  report. Year-to-date                              The Midwest Cattleman · March 9, 2023 · P22
      continued from page 21             imports from Canada,  Aus-         increased 10% but have been  850 million. The third quar-
                                         tralia and New Zealand are         more than offset by a decline  ter is  lowered 30  million
                                         ahead of the same period last      of over 50% in processed beef. pounds to 860 million and
      Import data suggests               year, but not quite enough to
      another strong first               offset decreases from Mexi-          Additionally, the U.S. Cus- the fourth quarter is lowered
      quarter                            co and Brazil. Imports from        toms and Border Protection  45 million pounds to 765 mil-
         Imports are running 3%          Mexico account for the larg-       Quota Status Report from  lion.  Therefore, the annual
      behind the record pace of          est portion of the year-over-      Feb. 6 shows  the tariff-rate  forecast is raised 25 million
                                                                            quota for  “other” countries  pounds to 3.425 billion.
      first-quarter 2022, according      year decrease, down 25%
      to weekly data published by        compared to the same period        (countries  without  a  specif-      Figure 4 shows how the
                                                                            ic quota or free trade agree- quarterly import forecasts
      the USDA, Agricultural Mar-        last year. Total imports from
      keting Service in the weekly       Brazil are down 6%; fresh          ment, set at just over 65 mil- compare to 2022 and the five-
                                                                            lion kilograms, or 143 million  year average. First quarter
      Imported Meat Passed for           beef imports from Brazil have      pounds) is more than 50%  is  expected  to  again  be  the
                                                                            filled.  The quantity is 7%  highest quarter.  The second
                                                                            ahead of the same week last  half of 2023 is expected to be
                                                                            year. The quota fill rates for  stronger than 2022, as cow
                                                                            Australia, New Zealand and  slaughter is forecast to de-
                                                                            Argentina are also ahead of  crease substantially in late
                                                                            the same period last year.        2023, increasing the need for
                                                                              As implied by the relative- imported lean trim.
                                                                            ly strong import data in early    Recap of 2022 beef
                                                                            2023, stronger imports are        imports
                                                                            expected in the first quarter        December imports came
                                                                            with a partial shift from the     in at 248 million pounds, 9%
                                                                            second half of 2023 to the        lower year over year, but 9%
                                                                            first quarter and a net in-       higher than the five-year
                                                                            crease of 25 million pounds       average (Table 2). Imports
                                                                            for the year. Specifically,       from Brazil were significant-
                                                                            the first-quarter forecast is     ly lower than the previous
                                                                            raised 100 million pounds to      December when a temporary
                                                                            950 million, implying a year-     ban by China on Brazilian
                                                                            over-year decrease of only        beef caused a surplus of ex-
                                                                            about 4%.  The second-quar-       portable supplies and helped
                                                                            ter forecast is unchanged at      boost shipments to the U.S.



          WE CAN DO BETTER!




          Part 1 of 3: MORE - Making silage/HMC last longer

                                       (and maybe even carry over)


          There’s more to it than black crust. You may be leaving money on the table.

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