Page 25 - MWC 4-23-20s
P. 25

DISTILLERS                                                                                  The Midwest Cattleman · April 23, 2020 · P25
       continued from page 14            animal’s diet. “Once our cattle  an entirely different ingredi- like for the industry.
      of  about  400  farmers/mem- are in the last leg of their diet,  ent like soybean meal. If they            “In the past, we’ve seen
      ber owners, the dry mill plant  they’re consuming so much  have  to  switch, Schiefelbein  similar episodes where the
      began running in late Decem- feed that any little upset in  estimates feed costs will rise  market has recovered quick-
      ber 2005. Today, it produces 65  the  feedstuffs  can  cause an  by roughly 20%.                        ly. Plants were able to rapidly
      million gallons of ethanol per  upset stomach, bloat, or diges-         “There is no other inexpen- ramp up production, and get
      year.                              tive problems,” he says.           sive, or as abundant, source of  back to normal,” he says. “But
         As the fourth-largest eth-         The fact that Schiefelbe- RUP than this wet by-prod- we also have seen episodes like
      anol producer in the U.S.,  in Farms had a contract with  uct,” Erickson says. “More pro- the Great Recession where it
      Minnesota is home to 20 eth- Bushmills, and it had prepaid  teins like soybean meal will be  was a much longer, slower re-
      anol plants that produce over  for the product was also con- fed and certainly more urea in  covery. I don’t think we know
      1.4  billion gallons of ethanol  cerning. “Fortunately, we were  supplements,  which  is  neces- yet which pattern we’re more
      annually. Seven  plants have  able to convince them to hold  sary. Because the type of pro- likely to see.”
      idled operation and another  off for a week, so we can stock- tein is different, it will impact            The bottom line: In order for
      six  have slowed production  pile as much supply as we  younger, rapidly growing cat- the industry to recover from
      since the beginning of March  can,” Schiefelbein says.                tle most.  The increased corn  this, Cooper says the economy
      2020, according to RFA.               Once the wet cakes are no  in the diet also requires very  has to reopen. “People have to
         “When we’re feeding  wet  longer available, Bushmills is  diligent management.”                      get back on the roads. People
      cakes to the animals, espe- allowing them to switch over              Why are plants shutting down?     have to go back to their of-
      cially ones that are ready to  to dried distillers’ grains, so          Berry says there are two        fice buildings. Kids have to go
      be harvested, it is a dramatic  they can continue to use the          main reasons  ethanol plants      back to school. There’s really
      shift in what they are used to  money they have with them.            close or slow production: eco-    no other way out of this box.”
      eating,” says Don Schiefelbe-         “Instead of having to make      nomics and storage.               Compounding an already
      in, whose family raises about  the  transition  in  a  week,            “The  ethanol industry  has  bad situation
      1,000 registered  Angus fe- maybe we can make it over                 been running very close to           Switching  an animal’s  diet
      males and feeds out around  two to three weeks and min-               breakeven for several years  couldn’t come at a worse time
      10,000 head of cattle. “If we’re  imize the digestive problems        due to federal policy,” he says.  as the cattle market contin-
      feeding them wet cakes one  that may be associated with               “The small refiner exemptions  ues to fall apart. “The futures
      day, and the next we’re not, it  the transition,” he says.            have caused a lot of uncertain- prices are well below where
      can create tremendous havoc.”         Depending on how long the       ty in the ethanol industry over  they were prior to COVID-19,
         As they ready to market  plant is in limited production            the last three years.”
                                                                                                              and they weren’t good at that
      cattle in the coming weeks, the  of the dry product also depends        Add to that the effects of  point, either,” Robinson says.
      last thing Schiefelbein Farms  on whether or not Schiefelbein         coronavirus on the amount of         “When your selling price is
      wants to do is mess with an  Farms will have to switch to             gasoline being consumed, and  down, and your cost of produc-
                                                                            it sets up an even worse sce- tion is going up – even though
                                                                            nario for ethanol plants to lose  your feed was contracted and
                                                                            money on every gallon they  paid for – all of a sudden your
                                                                            produce.                          economics  are turned  upside
                                                                              “Over the past three years  down,” Schiefelbein says.
                                                                            many plants have seriously           And it’s not just distillers’
                                                                            depleted the amount of cash  grains being replaced.
                                                                            on hand due to the small re-         “Even with low corn prices
                                                                            finer exemptions,” Berry says.  right now, you’re also replac-
                                                                            “They were in a bad position  ing or adding other feed costs
                                                                            before going into the decrease  that may be higher priced be-
                                                                            of ethanol use by as much as  cause producers are having to
                                                                            50% due to nobody driving  reformulate a ration,” Robin-
                                                                            nearly as much as they were  son says.  “Those added costs
                                                                            before the coronavirus hit.”      are a horrendous hit to an al-
                                                                              The reduction in ethanol use  ready bad situation that cattle
                                                                            was a very fast reduction, and  producers  are facing  across
                                                                            ethanol plants were still pro- the country regardless of their
                                                                            ducing at the same level when  feed source.
                                                                            the  pandemic  struck.  “Due         “The price discovery mech-
                                                                            to this, the storage facilities  anism in our markets is com-
                                                                            started bringing more ethanol  pletely broken,” he continues.
                                                                            in than they were getting rid  “It’s cause for concern, and
                                                                            of,” he says. “Now most storage  it has a lot of people asking
                                                                            is holding as much as it can  questions about what’s going
                                                                            possibly hold, which makes  on and what’s really at play
                                                                            the logistics of getting rid of  here. We are going to have to
                                                                            the ethanol produced very dif- provide some solutions in the
                                                                            ficult.”                          market, so that producers re-
                                                                              As  the  economic situation  ally understand what their
                                                                            improves, Berry says all of the  cattle are worth.  Right now,
                                                                            Nebraska plants plan to come  most of those tools are not
                                                                            back online.                      working very well.”
                                                                              However, Cooper says it’s
                                                                            too soon to know exactly what     SF
                                                                            the recovery is going to look
   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27   28   29   30