Page 10 - MWC 3-9-2023s
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The Midwest Cattleman · March 9, 2023 · P10
      BRAZIL CONFIRMS                     TIMELY BSE REPORT IN BRAZIL? U.S. BEEF IMPORTS LEFT UNPHASED
      continued from page 3                                                          By Paige Carlson
                                            A case of Atypical BSE, or        Lane explains, Brazil’s re- it state by state. They’ve de-
      dicates that it is the atypical  mad  cow disease,  was con- porting of these  cases has  clared themselves FMD-free.
      form of the disease, which  firmed in the northern state  been months or even years  However, that’s not how that
      appears spontaneously in na- of Para, Brazil recently. How- late.                                       process works. I mean, there
      ture, causing no risk of dis- ever, the real question is—               Justin Tupper,  president  are governing bodies that de-
      semination to the herd and  when did this case actually  of United States Cattlemen’s  termine that international-
      to humans," the agency said  occur?                                   Association, adds, “The atyp- ly, so it’s a fairly concerning
      in a statement.                       In a recent  AgriTalk con- ical BSE case follows the  state of affairs when they
         The sick animal was on  versation, Ethan Lane, the  finding of the disease in sev- self-declare and stop vacci-
      a property with 160 head of  National Cattleman’s Beef  eral animal remains in 2021,  nating,” Lane says.
      cattle in the southeast of the  Association vice president of  which the country  had ob-                  Continuing to press the
      state.  The site has been in- government affairs explains  viously failed to report in a  issue with Secretary Vilsack
      spected and preventively in- how Brazil has never been  timely manner.”                                 and USDA, Lane explains
      terdicted, the agency added.  the timeliest country when it             While China halted Bra- the uncertainty and concern
         Samples were sent to the  comes to reporting.                      zilian beef exports, as part of  over Brazil’s reporting abili-
      World Organization for  An-           “We understand that this  an animal health pact previ- ty continues to make us be-
      imal  Health lab in  Alberta,  is  an Atypical  case. They've  ously agreed between China  lieve there needs to be a sus-
      Canada, to confirm whether  sent it to the World Organi- and Brazil, the U.S. is still el- pension of beef imports from
      it was the classic form of the  zation for Animal Health for  igible to receive exports from  Brazil into the U.S. until they
      disease or its "atypical" ver- confirmation. What we don't  the country.                                can prove they have that cen-
      sion.                              know yet is the timeline,”           Under the current trade  tral competent authority and
         In 2021, two cases of the  Lane says.  “That has been  structure, Brazil is part of an  ability to play by the same
      disease triggered a suspen- the real problem with Bra- 18-country trade group, con- rules as the rest of world. “It’s
      sion in beef exports to China  zil and these  Atypical BSE  tributing to a 65,000 metric  something we can’t afford to
      that lasted more  than three  cases.  You know, the rest of  ton quota of beef to be im- let slip,” Lane says.
      months.                            the world reports these with- ported to the U.S.                        Tupper adds, “We acknowl-
                                         in 24 hours.  Atypical cases         “Brazil has gotten real- edge that Atypical BSE aris-
      Reuters                            are not the same as classical,  ly good in the last couple of  es spontaneously in certain
                                         they don't present a threat  years of maxing out that  cattle, especially amongst
                                         to the herd and they're spon- quota and basically taking  individual animals that are
                                                        taneously      oc- market share away from oth- 8 years of age or older. How-
                                                        curring but re- ers like the Japanese and the  ever, USCA supports the full
                                                        porting them in  British. That's a real source  and immediate suspension of
                                                        a timely way is  of contention amongst other  Brazilian beef imports, not
                                                        how we make  trading partners,” Lane adds. just because of this incident,
                                                        sure the system       Additionally, Brazil’s beef  but because there are enough
                                                        is working prop- exports  to  the  U.S.  must  be  other reasons to do so."
                                                        erly. For the last  shipped from Santa Catari-           Whether it’s BSE or FMD,
                                                        10 years, Brazil  na, a foot-and-mouth disease  Lane believes it’s important
                                                        has never re- (FMD) free state. However,  that trading countries play
                                                        ported one of  Lane explains there’s still a  by the same stringent rules
                                                        these in a time- lot of risk.                         that we abide by here in the
                                                        ly manner.”           “They stopped vaccinat- U.S.
                                                                            ing for FMD.  They’ve done


      U.S. BEEF CATTLE                   have otherwise preferred.            “To the extent that we’ve  feed as of Jan. 1 fell 4% from
      continued from page 3              Elevated beef cull prices con- got historically low cattle  2022 numbers, to about 14.2
                                         tributed to an 11% increase  stocks today, that will lead  million,  marking  the  first
      question of how much small- in beef cow slaughter, accord- to tighter cattle production,  year-over-year decline in beef
      er.”                               ing to USDA.                       which     means     potentially production  in  eight  years,
      Challenges                            As Mitchell recently point- higher beef prices,” Mitchell  Burdine and Mitchell wrote.
         For     many       producers    ed out, however, the reduced  said.  “From the perspective           University of Arkansas
      throughout the country, 2022       supply combined with steady  of cattle producers, this also          System Division of
      had offered a perfect storm        demand from the U.S. con- means higher prices. The re-               Agriculture
                                         sumer at least meant great- cent report from USDA just
      of economic and weather-re-
      lated challenges: input costs      er profitability for those pro- reinforces a bullish outlook
                                                                            on cattle prices for
      such as diesel and fertiliz-       ducers with stock to sell.
      er doubling or even tripling,  Biological lag                         the next couple of
      and a hot, dry summer that            “There is a pretty substan-     years.”
      only  increased  reliance  on  tial biological lag in the beef          The downward
      groundwater in the absence  supply chain,” he said. “What             trend in cattle
      of rainfall. For cattle pro- consumers experience at the              production     does
      ducers in particular, drought  grocery store is a product of          not appear likely
      conditions offered no replen- what cattle producers were              to reverse itself in
      ishment  of  dwindling  forage  going through a year or two           2023.    According
      supplies, leaving many pro- ago. It takes about two years             to  USDA’s  cattle-
      ducers to cull deeper into  for a new calf to become the              on-feed data, the
      their herds than they might  steak on your dinner plate.              number of cows on
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