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MARKET  REPORT                                                                        The Midwest Cattleman · September 30, 2021 · P35
                     Open Heifer Options

         Making Lemonade out of Lemons
       Live Cattle                                                          Feeder Cattle Daily


               By Kevin Laurent, Extension Specialist, University of Kentucky
         There are many events  was a slow breeder as a year-
      or moments throughout the  ling, what will her chances be
      year that we as beef produc- of breeding back as a 2-year-
      ers look forward to with great  old? If we choose to cull her,
      anticipation, excitement and  what is the best way to mar-
      frankly some degree of worry.  ket a 900-1100 lb open heif-
      It could be the daily checks  er?
      during calving season or              Option 1: Sell at the sale
      finding out your pay weight  barn. Obviously, the easiest
      and price for a load of year- option, but be prepared for a
      lings you delivered to the  pretty severe discount main-
      sale barn. I think most of us  ly because there are simply
      would agree that the annual  not that many heifers of that
      preg checking of the cow herd  weight class at the sale barn            Feeder Cattle:  All you have to do is look at the corn market for a reason for the
        Live Cattle:  My thoughts center around this market stabilizing now.  I’ve been
      is right there towards the top  on any given day. Remember,           pull-back in feeders. If I owned a feedlot I’d be nervous to say the least.  I do feel
      placing a bullish tilt to this market for some time now.  I may need to temporarily
      place this on “hold” for a while.  The higher placements the last three months will
      of the list of management ac- the cattle market moves in              the feeder market has overdone it to the downside and it will be tough to break it
      have a negative impact on prices yet, so like they say, “All good things come to those   further.  The early corn harvest has most feeder buyers in the field and I don’t think
      tivities that can have us on  load lots of 48-50,000 pounds.
      who wait”.  I see production numbers staying over last years’ levels until at the   they’ve really had time to concentrate on buying feeders.  Let’em get caught up a
      pins and needles. Open cows  It may take order buyers sev-
      least the end of the year.  Beef shipments have been lagging last years’ levels now   little and they’ll head to town.....checkbooks in hand....bulging with “corn” money.
      and open heifers are part of  eral weeks to assemble 45-50            This market will rally....wait and see.
      for about a month.  Two weeks ago they were 8% lower than last year.  This weeks
      the business. What we choose  open heifers of that weight
      report showed exports a whopping 56% lower than last year.  This ain’t good.  Low
      to do with open females can  class to make a load.
      imports and high exports have held this market up all summer.  We’re starting to
      affect our bottom line. For           Option 2:  Feed them.
      lose some of that.  I just can’t pull the trigger yet on long term bullish hopes.
      the sake of brevity, I would  Open replacement heifers
      like to limit this discussion  are still of an acceptable age
      to replacement heifers and  to be finished for  slaugh-                                     Trading commodity futures involves substantial risk of loss
                                                                                                  and my not be suitable for all investors.  The recommendations
       Rich Nelson
      what options we  have when  ter. Most heifers at preg-                                      express opinions of the author.  The information they contain is
                                                 Allendale Inc.
                                                                                                  obtained from sources believed reliable, but is in no way guaran-
       Allendale Inc.
      the vet finds her empty.           nancy  check time  are about                             teed.  The author may have positions in the markets mentioned
       815-578-6161

       rnelson@allendale-inc.com another 18 months of age and can                                 including at times positions contrary to the advice quoted herein.
         Give
                    her
                                                                                                  Opinions, market data, and
      chance or cull her? It may  be easily finished with  3-4                                    recommendations are subject to change at any time.
      What Does this Report Mean to Me?
      be tempting to give open  months of additional feeding.
      heifers another chance espe- Local beef is in big demand
        Q #1
      cially if you have both a fall  and if slaughter space can be
      and spring calving season.  scheduled this may be an ac-
      What do you think the price of fats will be in April 2011
      The problem with this option  ceptable option.
      Answer: It’s hard to see the forest for the trees here, but peering through the foliage I see $105.00 fats on the horizon for April.  Demand is
      is research shows that there          Option 3: Retain owner-
      going to have to kick in though in order to get it.
      may be upwards of 20% re- ship and send them to the
      duction  in  conception  rates  feedlot.  This is one option
        Q #2
      on heifers that failed to con- that most small to medi-
       Due to the recent break in feeders, would you be holding your fall-weaned
      ceive in the first breeding                     continued on page 39
      calves for a while or letting them go?
      season.  Ask yourself, if she
      Answer: What ever happened to the easy questions?  This will depend upon your weaning sched-
      ule and your available feed supply.  I’m long term bullish the feeder market but the “reality” of
      right now probably dictates letting them go.  If you keep them for an extra 30 days, make sure you
      minimize the grain in the ration.  Grow them on good forage....”sell” $4.50 corn.  If the fat market
      stays sluggish and corn prices don’t moderate, about the only thing you’ve got to hang your hat on
      for “higher feeders” is “Hope”.
                                                                             November  6th
                                                                                    Auction
                                                                               Lunch at 11:00 a.m.
                                                                                   Sale at 12:30
                                                                                     Sale Offering
                                                                             16 - 2010 Heifer Calves Jan. - May
                                                                             16 - Breeding Bulls 7 to 18 months              RH Standard Lad 0313
                                                                             16 - Spring Calving Bred Females                 Solid As A Rock Sire Group
                                                                             16 - Spring Calving Black Females  Reynolds Herefords
                                                                                     Bred to Hereford Bulls
                                                                             8 -    Fall Calving Pairs           1071 County Road 1231
                                                                             6 -    Show Steer Prospects
                                                                             Both Horned & Polled Offered         Huntsville, MO 65259
                          573-641-5270                                         November 5, 2010 Sale offerings on   Home: 660-277-3679 • Matt: 660-676-3788
                                                                                     Display 3:00 P.M.
                                                                                   CHB Dinner at 6:00 P.M.         • Barb: 660-676-4788
                                                                                   Call or E-Mail for Catalog  Email: reynoldscattle@cvalley.net
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