Page 19 - MWC 10-5-2023s
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at wholesale will certainly  shows that there is gener-                                    The Midwest Cattleman · October 5, 2023 · P19
      push the retail ground beef  al price support at $90 per
      price higher pulling more  cwt. for cutter cows and $85
      cows and bulls to be slaugh- per cwt. for slaughter cows.
      tered (see Figure 1). Fur- Higher and stronger ground
      ther, meat processing plants  beef prices and boxed beef
      that have a ground beef line  cutter cow cutout will only
      may be able to soften some  keep these prices high or
      of the impacts of higher fed  increase them into the fall.
      cattle margins.                    These seasonally higher
                                         prices should continue to
      Boxed Beef Cutter Cow              impact the beef cow slaugh-
      Cutout                             ter rate.
         There is a seasonal inver-
      sion  in  the  boxed  beef  cut-
      ter cow price (see Figure 2).                   continued on page 20
      Seasonally prices normally
      climb till May/June and then
                                                   Missouri Opportunity Sale
      decline through December
      as more cows come to town.                   Missouri Opportunity Sale
      In 2022, this seasonal trend
      was inverted as the market
      high came between January
      and April and then began to
      decline throughout the year.               Sunday, December 3, 2023 • MSF Fairgrounds in Sedalia, Mo • Noon CTS
      Contrast that with 2023, we
      followed the same season-
      al pattern from January to                                     OFFERING OVER 70 LOTS
                                                          Frontier
      May/June  – gradually in-
                                                                              174E
                                                                                                              Jalapeno 973E973E
      creasing albeit at nominal-                         Frontier            174E                            Jalapeno
                                                                                                C&L RR KJ
      ly higher values. But rather                  TH TH                                       C&L RR KJ
      than peaking and coming
      back down prices have con-
      tinued on a steady upward
      trajectory reaching $243 per
      cwt.  For perspective, this is
      what a 600-900 lb. Choice
      carcass was trading at in
      September 2022. Important
      to understand that this cut-
      out value is calculated and
      consists of several subprod-
      ucts each continuing at a
      fixed weight/proportion of
      the carcass. That allows us                          Power Surge                                       Emblazon
                                                           Power Surge 90249024
                                                  BOYD
                                                                                                 LJR/MSU
      to determine what is driv-                  BOYD                                           LJR/MSU     Emblazon 392e392e
      ing that value higher.  This
      higher price almost entirely
      contributed to strong prices
      for lean beef – approximate-
      ly 85% to be exact.  This is
      in line with the higher re-
      tail ground beef prices. The
      higher the cutout, the great-
      er incentive to harvest more
      cows,  thus limiting  herd
      growth.


      Cutter Cow and
      Slaughter Cow Prices                                BULLS • SPRING PAIR SPLITS • FALL PAIRS • SPRING BRED HEIFERS
         Cutter cow and slaugh-
      ter cow prices have likewise                           FALL OPEN HEIFERS • SHOW HEIFER PROSPECTS • EMBRYOS
      remained high (see Figures
      3-4). Both are significantly                   SPONSORED BY THE MISSOURI HEREFORD ASSOCIATION
      higher than both the 5-year
      average and 2022. National
      direct live cutter cow prices                         ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP MEETING & AWARDS BANQUET 5 P.M. DECEMBER 2, 2023
      were trading at $94 per cwt.                     MATT REYNOLDS • SECRETARY/ TREASURER • 660.676.3788 • REYNOLDSCATTLE@CVALLEY.NET
      compared to $74 per cwt. a
      year ago and $54 per cwt. on
      average between 2017-2021.                             WWW.MOHEREFORDS.ORG • LIKE US ON FACEBOOK
      The  seasonal  pattern  also
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