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U. S. BEEF                         percent to become the third larg-                       The Midwest Cattleman · March 11, 2021 · P12
      continued from page 3              est destination for U.S.  Though
                                         the  data  for  China and  Hong    port markets for U.S.
      South Korea combined to account  Kong are reported separately, it is   beef.  The remaining 10
      for 51 percent of total beef exports  important to look at the total for   percent of beef exports
      in 2020.                           the two since they are effective-  includes small amounts
         Mexico was the third larg- ly one market now.  Individually,       to 120 different coun-
      est U.S. beef export market from  beef exports to China increased     tries.    Most  of  this  re-
      2014-2019 but dropped sharply in  by 271.0 percent year over year in   maining total includes
      2020 due to pandemic impacts and  2020, more than offsetting a 4.7    exports to a broad set
      macroeconomic  weakness. Total  percent year over year decrease       of countries such as the
      exports to Mexico were down 24.7  in beef exports to Hong Kong.       Philippines, Indonesia,
      percent year over year in 2020.       Beef exports to Canada in-      the Netherlands, Chile,
      Beef exports to Mexico were down  creased 6.8 percent in 2020 from    Guatemala, Singapore,
      an average of more than 56 per- the previous year and is the fifth    Columbia and the Ba-
      cent year over year for each of the  largest beef export market.  Tai-  hamas.                          the China/Hong Kong market and
      months from April-September but  wan is the number six market           U.S. beef exports are expect-   recovery of beef exports to Mexico.
      finished the year strong with No- for U.S. beef and was unchanged     ed to increase modestly in 2021
      vember and December exports up  from year earlier levels in 2020.     to reach the second highest level
      by 50.7 percent year over year.    Beef exports to  Taiwan jumped     behind the 2018 export record.
         Combined beef exports to China  sharply in 2018, adding to an in-  Keys to export growth include
      and Hong Kong increased 28.8  creasingly diverse portfolio of ex-     continued growth in exports to


      5 TAKEAWAYS                           While the restaurant business  boundary of a pasture, and it will  They’ve made it clear we won’t get
      continued from page 3              was decimated last year, he says  give you exact distances, and the  there without cattle production.”
      economy as  COVID-19 vaccina-      food sales at grocery stores were  exact acreage of the field.          Woodall praised the new chair-
                                                                              “A lot of times we don’t know  man of the House agriculture
                                         up nearly 13%. Grocery store beef
      tions roll out, and businesses re-  sales for at-home meals have done  the exact numbers,” Gilley says.  committee, David Scott, a Dem-
      open. Kevin Good of the market     especially well.                   “This app can help you order in- ocrat from Georgia.  “He always
      outlook firm CattleFax predicted                                      puts such as fertilizer or seed,  asks us, ‘What can I do for my cat-
      a $10-per-hundredweight bump       3. Just change breeds.             purchase fence supplies, or com- tle friends?’”  Woodall says. “The
      in prices, with much of that com-     Cow/calf producers, particular-  pute crop yields.”               extremes in either party typically
      ing in the second half of 2021.    ly small and medium size ones,       He also likes Good Earth Pro  don’t help agriculture. It’s in the
      That would put fed cattle prices at   struggle with maintaining hetero-  (free) for creating pasture and  middle.”
      about $119 for the year, topping at   sis – crossbred vigor – in their cow   field maps. It even works better
      $126 in the fourth quarter. Feed-  herds.  That’s because they tend   for him on the larger screen desk-  agriculture.com
      er calves will range from $160 to   to like a breed or color and stick   top  site,  rather than  the  mobile
      $180, with tops in the early sum-  with it in bull selection year after   app. One other grazing app he re- LIFE
      mer grass season. One bit of good   year. Darrh Bullock, a beef ge-   ally likes is Graze OK (free from  continued from page 5
      news for beef, added Good, is that   netics Extension expert from the   Oklahoma State) for estimating
      poultry supplies will level off.   University of Kentucky, and John   forage availability in pastures.   fell and spilled the water, you
         “That’s   a   trend   change,”  Genho of the beef genomics com-                                      only hoped it was early on in
      Good says. “Poultry supplies have   pany Neogen, offered producers a  5. Biden: So far, so good.        your trip, so you wouldn’t have
      gone up 2% to 2.5% every year for   couple of ways they can improve     Make no mistake, the cattle  wasted all those steps.
      the last several years, but not this   heterosis.                     industry  leans  hard  right  politi-  I can remember my hands
      year. Total meat supplies will be     One is to buy composite bulls  cally. But cattle industry repre- and feet being so cold after mak-
      down about 3 pounds per capita,    made up of at least two breeds to  sentatives in  Washington, D.C.,  ing a few treks to the barns, that
      to 218 pounds. That’s price sup-   diversify the genetics of offspring,  think there’s reason for optimism  I would want to cry and quit,
      portive.”                          compared with a purebred bull.  in working with Biden adminis- but I knew if I did, it would only
      2. Pandemic lessons.               Beefmaster and Santa Gertrudis  trators. Ethan Lane, the NCBA’s  make more trips required for
                                         are examples. Ranches that follow  government affairs director, says  my parents and sister, so I kept
         Coronavirus exposed one big     this approach can, relatively eas- early indicators are that they are  on. Besides, Dad would have
      vulnerability of the beef industry:   ily, maintain at least 50% hetero- in the friend-making business.   warmed my backside, had I com-
      the concentration of beef slaugh-  sis in the herd long-term, explains   “They are trying hard to reach  plained—and I didn’t want to
      ter  and  processing  in  a  few  big   Genho, and even maintain a fa- out and engage with us,” Lane  warm up in that way.
      plants. Purdue University  meat    vored hide color of black or red.   says. “We will have a seat at the   After a few minutes of medi-
      industry economist Jayson Lusk        “And if you just change your  table with them. Some people  tation and reflection, on how it
      says  that just 10 plants harvest   breed of bull every four years,  think Biden’s executive actions  was in the good old days, I decid-
      63% of all cattle in the country,   you can get near 50% heterosis,”  will wipe out four years of regu- ed that turning on the hydrant,
      and 15 hog plants handle 59%       added Bullock. Sometimes, it  latory gains under the previous  up by the house, then sitting
      of the hogs. That presents a bot-  may pay to buy F-1 replacement  administration, but that  doesn’t  in the heated cab of my tractor,
      tleneck in the meat industry be-   heifers from a heifer developer,  appear to be the case. Take a deep  watching the water hose fill bar-
      tween producers and consumers.     Genho says. “She may cost more  breath and relax.”                   rels and milk cans, wasn’t nearly
         “At one point last summer, we   than those you grow yourself, but    Colin  Woodall, the CEO of  as tough as those youthful days
      were down 40% in meat packing      it could be worth it.”             NCBA, acknowledged that many  of drawing water from  an old
      volume from the year before,”                                         ranchers may be skeptical of  well and carrying them, by hand.
      Lusk says.  “Each plant is very    4. Tech for pastures.              Biden, but encouraged them to        I also promised my wife that
      impactful. Maybe we should have       Virginia rancher Jacob Gil-     give him a chance. “The reception  I would quit complaining and
      more medium and small proces-      ley likes technology, but only if it   we’ve had so far has been far bet- whining…about the water prob-
      sors. We’d be more resilient in a   actually helps him manage the     ter than in the early days of the  lem, at least. Can’t make that
      crisis.”                           farm more effectively. He high-    Obama  administration,” he says.  same assurance about other ca-
         Despite that, the beef industry   lighted several mobile apps he   “Biden people see agriculture not  lamities  that  are  occurring  at
      weathered 2020  relatively  well,   has on his phone that are simple   as the problem, but rather the  the present.
      Lusk indicates.  “Wholesale beef   and effective. One is called GPS   solution to such things as sus-
      demand is 15% higher right now     Fields Area Measure, a free app    tainability and climate  change.
      than this time two years ago.”     from Google. It lets you walk the
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