Page 6 - MWC 4-20-2023s
P. 6

The Midwest Cattleman · April 20, 2023 · P6
       Higher Bred Cow Values Ahead By Derrell Peel - Oklahoma State University

         Cattle prices are advanc- cwt. at the end of March for  heifer values are likely to in- crease                   to
      ing for all classes of cattle.   average  dressing  cows.    Av- crease sharply by this fall.           $1700/head
      Prices for Oklahoma feeder  erage            dressing    Breaking       Current bred cow val- or higher by
      steers (under 700 pounds) and  cows were $104.74/cwt. and  ues for Medium/Large No. 1  this fall.   I
      heifers (under 650 pounds)  average dressing Lean cows  cows, 5-8 years of age, second  expect bred
      have increased 12-20 percent  were $92.69/cwt. at the end  trimester (T2) bred, 1100- cow values
      since the end of 2022.  Bigger  of March.                             1200 pounds in Oklahoma  to increas-
      steers and heifer prices have         Bred  cow values are  sea- were $1332/head last week.   ingly reflect
      increased five to eight per- sonally higher going into  Younger (2–4 year-old) cows  and                        incor-
      cent, still weighed down by  April but it appears that the  averaged from $1300 - $1550/ porate expectations for high-
      high corn prices.  Fed cattle  lingering drought conditions  head for second to third tri- er calf prices in the coming
      prices at the end of March  are holding bred cow values  mester cows.  Based on prior  months.
      were up about 6 percent from  somewhat lower than oth- research and current broader                        The prior research also
      December 2022.                     erwise for this time of year.   market conditions, bred cow  provides  insights  into  the
         Prices for Boning slaugh- Given growing expectations  values would likely be $100- range of values for bred cows.
      ter  cows in  Oklahoma  are  that drought conditions will  $300/head higher without  The base cow described above
      up almost 39 percent from  moderate through the com- drought impacts.                                   assumes average quality.
      December and were $98.24/ ing months, bred cow and                      What can we expect for  Variations from low to high
                                                                            bred cow values later?  Again,  quality decrease or increase
                                                                            assuming drought conditions  value of the cow by roughly
                                                                            show significant improve- 15 percent, about $200/head
                                                                            ment, bred  cow and  heifer  less for low quality to $200/
                                                                            prices will likely increase  head more for high quali-
                                                                            dramatically,        beginning, ty cows compared to aver-
                                                                            perhaps this fall, and into  age quality.  On average, the
                                                                            2024.  Based on the previous  value of bred cows is highest
                                                                            research, including season- at ages 3-5 and begins to drop
                                                                            al patterns and fall futures  sharply after age 7.   Bred
                                                                            market values for feeder cat- cow value is higher for later
                                                                            tle  and  corn,  the  5–8  year- stages of gestation, with bred
                                                                            old cow currently valued at  cows valued roughly $150/
                                                                            $1332/head could easily in-                     continued on page 14

















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