Page 42 - MWC 3-10-2022s
P. 42

PRICE RISK                         Much like  hedging through                              The Midwest Cattleman · March 10, 2022 · P42
      continued from page 41             the sale of a futures contract,  insurance product is very sim- price gains, although the down-
      reason, it is crucial that lend-   basis must also be considered  ilar to a put option. Consider        side protection is not as solid as
      ers be fully aware of the plans    with an option strategy as the  the option example from before       with forward contracts or short
      if this strategy is used. Produc-  strike price is based on the fu- for a producer that planned to      futures. Finally, LRP insurance
      ers must also consider basis as    tures market.                      sell 800 lb feeder steers in Au- offers the best opportunity to
      the value of the cattle they sell     An additional limitation of  gust. Rather than purchasing  scale price protection to small-
      will not perfectly match futures   both futures-based strategies  an  August put, that producer         er quantities.  While forward
      prices.                            (sale of futures and purchas- could instead purchase LRP in- contracts could be written in
         Options on futures contracts    ing of options) is the 50,000 lb  surance with a coverage level  any size, they tend to be more
      provide an opportunity to have     CME© Feeder Cattle contract  of $174 per cwt and an end- available for larger volumes.
      some downside protection, but      size. The vast majority of Ken- ing  date  sometime  during  the        Risk management strate-
      also keep the ability to capital-  tucky cattle producers are not  month of August. If the CME©         gies are very much dependent
      ize on rising prices. For exam-    large enough to utilize futures  Feeder Cattle Index was below       on the risk preferences and
      ple, if the August CME© feed-      and options. Fortunately, Live- $174 on the ending date of the       financial situation of the indi-
      er cattle futures contract was     stock Risk  Protection (LRP)  policy, they would be indemni-         vidual. The purpose of this ar-
      trading at $180 per cwt, the pro-  insurance provides an oppor- fied for the difference on every        ticle was largely to point out
      ducer might buy a put option       tunity to purchase an insur- lb they covered. They must still        what  is being  offered  by the
      with a strike price of $174. The   ance product very much like  self-insure the decrease until          market and review some price
      put option gives the producer      a put  option, but that can  be  the index reaches $174, and         risk management strategies
      the right to sell August futures   scaled for  smaller operations.  they must also understand           that are available. While these
      at $174, which means their         Additionally, the subsidy on  basis – the policy is indemni- markets certainly have the po-
      option will increase in value      LRP has been increased sub- fied based on the CME© Feeder            tential to go higher, it is very
      as the market falls. They will     stantially over the last couple  Cattle Index, rather than what      likely that attractive pricing
      pay a premium for this right,      of years, which makes it much  they sell their cattle for.           opportunities will be available
      which becomes an additional        more attractive from a premi-        Forward contracts are the       for producers looking to estab-
      cost. They must also self-insure   um perspective.                    only strategy described that do   lish some downside price risk
      the first $6 per cwt drop in the      LRP is an insurance product  not involve basis risk, as an ac- protection this year. Price risk
      market (the difference between     that pays an indemnity if the  tual price for the cattle can be  management is not about try-
      the futures price and the strike   CME© Feeder Cattle Index is  agreed upon. Potential margin           ing to cherry-pick market highs
      price on the put). If feeder cat-  below a selected coverage level  calls are an important consider- as  it  is  sometimes  presented.
      tle prices continue to rise, the   on the ending date of the insur- ation for producers that choose  It  is  about  strategically  man-
      producer  can  benefit  by  sell-  ance policy. The CME© Feeder  to use short futures positions.        aging downside price risk and
      ing their cattle on the stronger   Cattle Index is used to cash set- Put options and LRP insur- should be part of every produc-
      market and the only expense        tle open CME© Feeder Cattle  ance both have the advantage            er’s marketing plan.
      is what was paid in premium.       contracts at expiration, so this  of leaving potential for upside


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