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Using EPDs to Make                                                                      The Midwest Cattleman · August 24, 2023 · P26

          Breeding Decisions                                                       Understanding


                                                                             Cow Inventory to
                      By Megan Rolf, K-State Beef Cattle Geneticist
         At the start of a new sports  EPD between two bulls of the          Build a Marketing
      season, there are always peo- same breed.
      ple speculating about the             “If Bull A’s weaning weight                       Strategy
      team,  and  some  of  the  seri- EPD is 50 and Bull B’s wean-
      ous fans may use statistics to  ing weight EPD is 70, then                 By Dustin Pendell, Agricultural Economist, K-State Beef Cattle Institute
      make their predictions about  we would expect the calves of                                                “Once we start saving
                                                                              For many, investing in the
      the individual athletes.           Bull B to be 20 pounds heavi-      stock market is a long-term  heifers, it is a long-term in-
         In much the same way, beef  er at weaning, on average,                                         that vestment because it takes
      cattle producers have data to  if we bred them to the same            retirement     strategy
                                                                            takes discipline to avoid re- months before they can con-
      help in their decision-making  cows,” Rolf said.                      acting to changes in the mar- tribute offspring to the herd,”
      about herd matings, said the          While EPDs across the           ket.                              White said.
      experts at the Kansas State  breeds  are  calculated  simi-                                                One factor that influenc-
                                                                              In much the same way,
      University Beef Cattle Insti- larly, the baseline of the cal-         making a profit in the cattle  es the liquidity of the cattle
      tute.                              culation varies and so she         business requires a long-term  market is drought, Lancaster
         One of the data tools for  advises that producers only
      making breeding decisions is  compare EPDs between ani-               approach, said the experts at  said.
                                                                                                                 “If you are in an area that
      Expected Progeny Differenc- mals of the same breed.                   Kansas State University’s
                                                                            Beef Cattle Institute on a re- has been getting  rain, you
      es, also known as EPDs, said          “Factors that go into that                                        may be able to keep extra
      K-State beef cattle geneticist  calculation of the statistical        cent Cattle Chat podcast.
                                                                              “Having a strategy to deal  heifers and cows that can
      Megan  Rolf, speaking on  a  model are phenotype infor-               with  fluctuating  prices  is  add to the herd, but if you are
      recent Cattle Chat podcast.        mation collected by breed-         much better than reacting; it  experiencing drought then
         “EPDs are the differences  ers, the pedigree of the an-            is  much  like  the  stock  mar- there will be feed costs that
      we expect to see in the per- imal’s  sire and  dam, and,              ket in that you don’t want to  need to be accounted for in
      formance among groups of  in some cases, the animal’s                 buy in or buy out on a whim,”  the decision to keep or sell,”
      progeny,” Rolf said.               own genomic data,” Rolf said.      said K-State veterinarian  Lancaster said.
         She gave the example of  Genomic data is collected                                                      White called that knowing
      comparing a weaning weight  through a hair or tissue sam-             Brad White.
                                                                              White’s observation is re- the “resource availability.”
                                                      continued on page 31  lated to the July USDA re-           “If I have the resources
                                                                            port that showed beef cow  available, I can be more se-
                                                                            numbers at 29.4 million  lective about which females I
                                                                            head, which is  down 2.6%  keep and I can sell the ones
           See the difference®                                              compared to the same time  I don’t want at a reasonable
                                                                            last year, and the cattle and  price,” White said.
                                                                            calves total inventory was           Along with the production
                                                                            95.9 million head,  which is  cycle, Pendell said the con-
                                                                            down 2.7% from the previous  sumer demand also can in-
                                                                            year.                             fluence cattle prices.
                                                                              “What I take from this re-         “We are starting to see that
                                                                            port is that we haven’t bot- the consumer beef demand is
                                                                            tomed out yet with the inven- softening as consumers were
        Seal your precious high moisture corn and silage with Sealpro®      tory numbers because people  not willing to pay as much for
                                                                            are still liquidating the herd,”  their beef in June as they did
                                                                            said Dustin Pendell, K-State  in May,” Pendell said. “Even-
                      ROI potential 4:1 to 7:1                              agricultural  economist. “As  tually  that  will  translate
                                                                            the herds continue to shrink,  down to cattle prices along
                                                                            cattle prices are going to stay  with the influences of inter-
                                                                            high a little longer and possi- national trade.”
                                                                            bly go a little bit higher.”         The      K-State      experts
                                                                              From a cattle producer’s  agreed that producers need
                                                                            perspective, there are choices  to think about the market-
                                                                            to make. K-State beef cattle  ing opportunities for the long
                                                                            nutritionist Phillip Lancast- term.
                                                                            er said, “As a producer, I may       “Every operation is going
                                              Contract your covering?       want to retain the four- to  to be different depending on
                                                                            eight-year-old cows that are  where you are located in re-
                                 scan                Ask for it by name     going to produce the best  spect  to drought;  prices  are
                                                                            calves that I can sell into a  going to be high for the fore-
                                                        DIY Covering?
                        ®                                                   market with high calf prices.” seeable future, so you need to
                                             Product is in stock locally      White agreed and added  figure out where those mar-
         S I L A GE    B A RR I ER    F I LM S
            BY  CONNOR  AGRISCIENCE                                         that heifers retained can con- keting opportunities are and
                                                                            tribute to the financial suc- then run with them,” Pendell
                                     More. Better. Safer.                   cess of the herd, but it will  said.
                                                                            take a longer period of time
                                       sealprosilage.com  559-779-5961      compared to cows.
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