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PRICE                              ed. At the same time,                                   The Midwest Cattleman · August 20, 2020 · P23
      continued from page 3              feedyards with ample
      — both grain and livestock —       cattle ready for har-
      manage both of these risks.        vest were unable to
                                         move those cattle to
      Before the Coronavirus             processing facilities
         Managing weather risk           since the processing
      has been an ongoing concern        capacity  had  been
      of producers. However, the in-     reduced. So live cat-
      terest in managing price risk      tle prices adjusted by
      has been more sporadic. Pro-       approximately 25%,
      ducers, being generally opti-      and the price soft-
      mistic, are reluctant to lock in   ness was felt down
      a certain price that eliminates    the production chain
      the opportunity of a higher        to yearling cattle and
      price if by chance the market      calves. No one in Jan-
      offers it later in the produc-     uary would have ever
      tion cycle. The pandemic has       thought  the  cattle
      reminded  producers  of  and       market would experience this       exist as to ways producers  July 1, 2020, the subsidy has
      heightened the interest in         kind of decline.                   can pick and choose combina- been increased to 20-35% de-
      price risk management.                                                tions of put and call options  pending on the level of cover-
         If you are a cattle produc-     Price Protection Has Potential     to achieve a higher floor.        age chosen. One of the more
      er, think back to the outlook         The chain of events that        Livestock Risk Protection         attractive features of LRP is
      for cattle prices in late Janu-    created the lower prices              Around the turn of this        that any size group of cattle
      ary 2020. On Jan. 1, the U.S.      caused  cattle  producers  to      century, RMA created a prod-      less than 3,000 head can be
      cattle inventory report esti-      think back and wish they           uct they named Livestock          protected.
      mated beef cow numbers to          would have done some kind of       Risk Protection (LRP). RMA  Options Are Available
      be down from the previous          price protection. Nothing can      provided a 13% subsidy on            If the recent fluctuations in
      year by 1.2%, the first decline    be done for what has already       the premium, hoping it would  the cattle markets have made
      since 2014.                        happened, but producers can        entice producers to use it. The  you interested in price protec-
         The calf crop was esti-         learn from the experience and      product is sold and serviced  tion, please become informed
      mated to be down 0.9%. In a        consider ways price protec-        by private insurance agents.  of the products available.
      market where supply and de-        tion can be used in the future.    The use of the product has
      mand  determine  prices,  the      Fortunately, there are several     been disappointing. Effective     www.noble.org
      fundamentals were in place         choices a cattle producer has
      to support stronger prices.        to help with price protection.
      Projections in the fall for pur-   Some of these products have
      chased stocker calves or re-       been around for a long time,
      tained home-raised calves in-      while others have been avail-
      dicated a profit when sold at      able for only about 20 years.
      heavier weights in the spring.     Hedging
      Few producers who owned               Hedging on the futures
      yearling cattle thought much       market by selling a futures
      about price protection at the      contract is very popular. This
      time.                              strategy locks in a certain
      Supply and Demand Disrupted        price with no opportunity for
         Then the pandemic caused        any upside potential. Typical-
      huge disruptions to both the       ly, the only reason a producer
      supply and demand for many         would  experience  a different
      food items, including beef.        price would be that the actual
      Consumers changed their            basis was different than pro-
      buying behavior due in part        jected.
      to many working from home             The reason many produc-
      and eating more meals at           ers do not like hedging is mar-
      home.  The food service (pri-      gin calls. Large margin calls
      marily restaurants) demand         can shake the emotions of the
      dried up almost overnight and      calmest producer. Purchasing
      panic buying ensued at the         options  on futures  contracts
      retail level. Some cattle pro-     is attractive because of the
      cessors  darkened  plants  due     potential for a higher price. A
      to surging cases of COVID-         “put” option provides a min-
      19, while others had to reduce     imum floor price and leaves
      capacity because workers felt      the upside open. No margin
      unsafe at work and stayed          calls are required.
      home.  Food service  products         The reluctance by some
      could not easily be retrofitted    producers to use options is
      for the retail market. With re-    premium cost. If a  “strike”
      duced processing capacity and      price close to the underlying
      a product shortage, a much         futures contract is chosen,
      stronger beef demand was           premium cost could be consid-
      created at the retail level and    ered pricy, especially in vola-
      boxed beef prices skyrocket-       tile markets. Many strategies
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