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The Midwest Cattleman · March 9, 2023 · P3














                      March 9, 2023   Volume 29   No. 3

                   BRAZIL CONFIRMS BSE CASE,                                   CATTLE ON FEED INVENTORIES DECLINE
                    HALTS EXPORTS TO CHINA                                        FOR A FIFTH CONSECUTIVE MONTH
         Brazil's beef exports to                                               By James Mitchell, Livestock Marketing Specialist, University of Arkansas
      China were halted after a                                               According to the latest  February 1 inventories, 620
      case of mad cow disease was                                           USDA  Cattle  on Feed re- thousand head or 2% higher.
      confirmed in the northern                                             port, feedlot inventories were       Feedlot placements have
      state of Para, according to                                           below year-ago levels for  been below year-ago levels
      the country's agriculture and                                         the fifth consecutive month.  since September 2022. Jan-
      livestock ministry.                                                   There was an estimated  uary feedlot placements de-
         The suspension is part of                                          11.70 million head  of cat- clined  3.4% year  over year
      an animal health pact previ-                                          tle on feed as of February 1,  to 1.93 million head. Except
      ously agreed between China                                            4% lower than  February  1,  for cattle weighing 700-799
      and Brazil and is expected to  Brazil's beef exports to China were halted   2022. For perspective, Febru- lbs, placements across all
      be temporary. It is a blow to      after a case of mad cow disease was   ary 2022 feedlot inventories  weight categories (<600 Lbs,
                                         confirmed in the northern state of Para,
      Brazilian  farmers,  as  China  the country's agriculture and livestock   were historically large, part- 600-699 Lbs, >800 Lbs) were
      is the main destination for        ministry said.                     ly explaining the 4% decline.  all down by more than 3%.
      Brazil's beef exports.                                                That is, comparing invento- Lower placements will have
         "All measures are being         said Minister Carlos Favaro.       ries this year to a historically  important implications for
      taken immediately at each             A case of the disease, for-     large number last year.           beef production in 2023.
      stage of the investigation         mally called bovine spon-                                                          Looking at fore-
      and the matter is being han-       giform     encephalitis,     was                                                 casts from the Feb-
      dled with total transparency       confirmed earlier by Para's                                                      ruary World Ag-
      to guarantee Brazilian and         agricultural defense agency.                                                     ricultural Supply
      global consumers the recog-           "The symptomatology in-                                                       and Demand Esti-
      nized quality of our meat,"                     continued on page 10                                                mates     (WASDE),
                                                                                                                          USDA expects beef
      U.S. BEEF CATTLE INVENTORY LOWEST SINCE 1962                                                                        production to de-
             U.S. Beef herd down due to input prices and drought.                                                         cline 6% in 2023.
                                                                                                                          The February beef
                                 By Ryan McGeeney                                                                         production      fore-
         Beef cattle inventories  Kenny Burdine and James                                                                 cast reflects an
      across the United States are  Mitchell, extension livestock                                                         upward revision of
      at their lowest point in more  economist for the University                                                         50 million pounds
      than six decades, according  of Arkansas System Division                On-feed inventories were  compared to USDA’s Janu-
      to the U.S. Department of Ag- of Agriculture, wrote that the  4% lower in Kansas and 6%  ary forecast, which offers im-
      riculture.                         decline came as no surprise.       lower  in  Texas.  February 1  portant insights. Higher beef
         In  its  biannual                                                  feedlot inventories in Ne- cow and fed heifer slaughter
      cattle report, USDA                                                   braska totaled 2.57 million  elevated beef production in
      reported a total of                                                   head and were 3% lower than  2022, reflecting worsening
      89.3 million head                                                     last year’s February total.  drought conditions. If USDA
      as of Jan. 1, 2023                                                    Even larger declines were  continues to revise the 2023
      — 3% lower than                                                       observed in Oklahoma (11%  beef production forecast up-
      the  total  reported                                                  lower year over year) and  ward, it will suggest that
      a year ago, and the                                                   Colorado (10% lower year  drought conditions still need
      lowest since 2015.                                                    over year). Among the major  to improve to moderate beef
      Beef cattle — those                                                   cattle-feeding regions, Iowa  cow and heifer slaughter.
      bred specifically for                                                 was one of just a few states
      slaughter and meat  STEEP DECLINE — In its bi-annual cattle report,   that reported an increase in
      sales — declined        USDA reported a total of 89.3 million head as of Jan. 1,
                              2023 — 3 percent lower than the total reported a year
      3.6%, to 28.9 mil- ago, and the lowest since 2015. Beef cattle — those bred
      lion head, the low-     specifically for slaughter and meat sales — declined 3.6                     Coming Sales-46
      est total recorded      percent, to 28.9 million head, the lowest total recorded                     Life is Simple-5
                              by the agency since 1962. (USDA)
      by the agency since                                                                                  Market Report-8
      1962.                                 “There was no question
         In  “Cattle Market Notes  that  the  beef  cow  herd  had                                         Agribusiness
      Weekly,” a newsletter fo- gotten smaller,” Burdine and                                               Directory-44
      cused on the cattle industry,  Mitchell said. It was “just a
      University of Kentucky’s
                                                      continued on page 10
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